Corn and wheat rebound as crude oil soars (RTRS)

By Julie Ingwersen

15.11.2016, 21:06:47
  • Corn up 1 percent, following broad strength in commodities
  • Wheat buoyed by dry conditions in U.S. Delta, Plains
  • Soybeans firm on bullish monthly U.S. crush data

New throughout; updates prices, adds quotes, changes byline and dateline, previous SINGAPORE/PARIS

U.S. corn and wheat prices each rose about 1 percent on Tuesday as strength in crude oil helped the broader commodities sector rebound from sharp declines a day earlier, analysts said.

Soybean futures were modestly higher, supported by bullish monthly U.S. crushing data.

As of 12:56 p.m. CST (1856 GMT), Chicago Board of Trade December corn CZ6 was up 4 cents at $3.41-1/4 per bushel. December wheat WZ6 rose 3-3/4 cents to $3.97-3/4 a bushel and January soybeans SF7 were up 1-3/4 cents at $9.86 a bushel.

Grains drew support from crude oil, with U.S. crude futures CLc1 rising as much as 5 percent on renewed expectations that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would agree later this month to cut production to reduce a supply glut.

“Some people are staring at crude, which is up $2 (per barrel), helping corn,” said Terry Reilly, an analyst with Futures International.

The 19-market Thomson Reuters CoreCommodity CRB Index .TRJCRB was up about 1 percent, a day after falling to its lowest level since early September.

Wheat found support from dry weather in the Mississippi River Delta and portions of the southern Plains that could stress the 2017 winter wheat crop. The crop was 94 percent planted as of Sunday, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

“Adverse weather impacting the soft red winter wheat crop in the Delta and dry weather in southern Great Plains, just before dormancy, is propping that market higher,” Reilly said.

Soybeans were modestly higher after a monthly report from the National Oilseed Processors Association showed its members crushed 164.6 million bushels of soybeans in October, the third-heaviest total on record. (Full Story)

Export demand has also been supportive, with the U.S. Department of Agriculture confirming sales of more than 700,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans so far this week. 

However, Reilly said the torrid pace of soybean sales should stall in early 2017 as the South American harvest gets rolling.

“We expect the U.S. shipments to start falling off in February, and then really drop off a cliff in March,” Reilly said.

Soybeans rebound on Chinese buying, corn falls on LatAm outlook – RTRS

  • Soybeans up after 2-day decline, demand underpins prices
  • Corn eases as Brazil plantings progress in benign weather

SINGAPORE, Nov 15 (Reuters) – Chicago soybean futures edged higher on Tuesday snapping two sessions of declines and recovering from its lowest in more than three weeks on support from China’s persistent demand.

Corn fell for a third consecutive session, hovering close to its lowest since early October as near-perfect planting weather across Brazil anchored the market.

The Chicago Board of Trade most-active soybean contract  Sv1 rose 0.3 percent to $9.86-3/4 a bushel by 0314 GMT, having closed down 0.2 percent on Monday.

Corn  Cv1 gave up 0.4 percent to $3.36 a bushel, having dropped on Monday to its lowest since Oct. 3 at $3.35-1/2 a bushel, and wheat  Wv1 slid 0.1 percent to $3.93-1/2 a bushel.

“Export activity is bullish for soybeans, strong Chinese demand was confirmed by the USDA,” said Kaname Gokon at brokerage Okato Shoji in Tokyo.

“There is plenty of corn supply in the United States and South American plantings are progressing well in normal conditions.”

U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) confirmed on Monday private sales of 456,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans.

China, which buys more than 60 percent soybeans traded worldwide, has been actively booking U.S. cargoes in recent weeks.

U.S. farmers have nearly finished gathering soybeans with the latest USDA report putting the harvest progress at 97 percent, slightly above the five-year average of 95 percent.

Corn harvest was 93 percent complete, almost matching the average pace of 92 percent.

Farmers in Brazil were actively planting corn with recent rains in dry areas boosting crop prospects, traders said.

Wheat is under pressure as the U.S. dollar has strengthened, making U.S. grains less attractive on the world market. The country exports about 40 percent of its wheat crop.

The dollar is closing in on a test of its highest level in almost 14 years as bond yields soared after Donald Trump’s election to president, bringing buyers back to the U.S. currency. USD/

Russian farmers have sown winter grains on the largest area in the last seven years and will plant more in the coming weeks, improving prospects for the 2017 crop, analysts said.

Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT corn, wheat, soybean and soyoil contracts on Monday but were net buyers of soymeal, traders said.  

 

Grains prices at 0314 GMT

 Contract    Last    Change  Pct chg  Two-day chg  MA 30   RSI
 CBOT wheat  393.50  -0.50   -0.13%   -2.36%       409.29  30
 CBOT corn   336.00  -1.25   -0.37%   -1.25%       347.84  34
 CBOT soy    986.75  2.50    +0.25%   +0.08%       988.08  38
 CBOT rice   9.40    $0.00   +0.00%   -3.24%       $10.17  24
 WTI crude   44.18   $0.86   +1.99%   +1.77%       $48.09  36
 Currencies
 Euro/dlr    $1.075  $0.001  +0.13%   -0.94%
 USD/AUD     0.7561  0.001   +0.15%   +0.15%
 Most active contracts
 Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per
 hundredweight
 RSI 14, exponential

Corn futures dip on hopes for break in US rains (am)

agrimoney.com                   20:12 GMT, Thursday, 22nd Sept 2016, by William Clarke

Corn futures fell back in Chicago, as pressure from the US harvest, and receding weather worries, sapped strength from the market.

Markets have had some support from the rain which is delaying the US harvest.

But weather models suggest that rains will abate after the current weather system moving through the US Midwest passes next week.

Harvest pressure

“Drier weather in the north western Midwest would finally allow corn and soybean drydown and early harvesting to improve,” said Don Keeney, at MDA Weather Services.

“Harvesting should also continue to progress well in the south eastern Midwest and Delta.”

“The harvest pressure is picking up in corn and that has moved the market off the early high,” said Darrell Holaday, at Country Futures.

True, US corn export sales were reported at 921,900 tonnes, at the top end of analyst forecasts, but markets did not develop any support on the news.

December corn futures finished down 1.1%, at $3.38 ѕ a bushel, punching through the 50-day moving average where it found support in the previous session.

Chinese back from holiday

CHS said “pressure from harvest and good export demand seem to be temporarily offsetting” in soybeans.

The USDA reported weekly soybean export sales at 875,700 tonnes, undershooting expectations which ran between 900,000 and 1.20m tonnes.

But commentators were still bullish on demand prospects.

“Beans sales were below estimates but China was on holiday for several days during reporting period,” said Kim Rugel.

And the USDA announced another 360,000 tonnes of soybean sales, believed to be all destined for China, although 120,000 tonnes was option

November soybeans finished up 0.1%, at $9.76 Ѕ a bushel.

Russian export tariff lifted

US wheat export sales topped expectations, at 561,000 tonnes.

And European wheat prices got a boost, as sellers showed interest in an Egyptian wheat tender, after three failed tenders in a row.

But there was downward pressure, with the news that Russia is will remove its wheat export tax from September 23.

And The EU cleared 452,000 tonnes soft wheat export licences in the last week, compared to 371,000 tonnes a year previously, bringing the total so far this season to 1.2m tonnes.

And Morocco bought 310,000 tonnes of EU soft wheat in a tender.

December Paris wheat futures, rose 0.3%, to finish at E162.00 a tonne.

Protein premium

December Chicago wheat futures finished down 0.7%, at $4.05 Ѕ a bushel.

But spring wheat futures, the highest protein variety, rallied.

“Increased milling wheat needs in North Africa, China and India will make this marketing year worth paying attention to right through May,” said Tregg Cronin, at Halo Commodities.

In Minneapolis, spring wheat futures rose 1.3%, to finish at $5.00 ѕ a bushel.

Sugar futures surge, and fall back

Sugar futures surged to their highest level in more than four years, up some 5%, before falling sharply back late in the session.

Coffee futures also turned lower, as the Brazilian real fell back against the dollar.

Brazil is the world’s top producer of coffee and sugar, and a weaker real encourages producer selling.

March raw sugar surged as high as 23.88 cents a pound, the highest for the second month contract since July 2012.

But a spate of late session selling saw the contract settle down 0.4%, at 22.67 cents a pound.

Outside day in arabica

A similar pattern was seen in arabica coffee, which rallied to a 19-month high of 1.641 cents a pound, before turning back to finish down 0.8%, at 155.25 cents a pound.

This marks an outside day, with futures trading above the previous session high, and finishing below the session low, seen as a bearish signal.

November robusta in London settled up 0.8 percent, at $2,002 per tonne, after hitting $2,028, the highest level for the benchmark second position since February 2015

USDA sees higher record U.S. soy crop, futures fall (RT)

The U.S. Agriculture Department said on Monday that record U.S. soybean yields and production would be higher than previously forecast due to improved crop conditions during August, a critical development period for the oilseed.

The USDA, in issuing its latest monthly U.S. crop forecasts,also trimmed its corn production and yield projections from its August outlook. Even so, they were pegged near the high end of analysts’ forecasts and USDA reiterated its expectation for a record harvest of the yellow grain.

The increased soybean production outlook outstripped rising demand from the domestic and export sectors, and USDA raised its outlook for supplies left at the end of the 2016/17 marketing year, commonly referred to as end stocks.

For corn, 2016/17 U.S. end stocks were lowered by 25 million bushels to reflect the reduced harvest expectations but remained on track to be the biggest since the 1987/88 marketing year.

“USDA increased (soybean) crush for next year and exports for next year, but you still ended up with production outweighing the demand increases,” said Jim Gerlach, president of A/C Trading in Indiana.

Soybean futures Sv1 fell to session lows after the report was released. Corn Cv1 also hit a session low but quickly recovered its losses to hover around unchanged.

USDA left its domestic wheat end stocks view unchanged in its supply and demand report, roughly in line with market expectations.

In the monthly update, USDA forecast the 2016/17 U.S. soybean crop at 4.201 billion bushels, based on an average yield of 50.6 bushels per acre. That topped analysts’ forecasts that ranged from 4.019 billion bushels to 4.162 billion bushels for production and 48.1 bushels per acre to 50.1 bushels per acre for yield.

Corn production was seen at 15.093 billion bushels, down from the government’s August estimate of 15.153 billion bushels. USDA lowered its corn yield view by 0.7 bushels per acre to 174.4 bushels per acre.

On the supply side, the government cut its 2015/16 soybean ending stocks view to 195 million bushels from 255 million bushels. Analysts, on average, had expected 2015/16 soy ending stocks of 232 million bushels. The move reflected a 60 million-bushel increase in exports for the marketing year.

For 2016/17, USDA pegged soybean ending stocks at 365 million bushels, up from 330 million bushels in its August report, due to the increased harvest view.

The government said 2015/16 U.S. corn ending stocks would be 1.716 billion bushels, up 10 million from August due to lower exports. For 2016/17, domestic corn stocks were pegged at 2.384 billion bushels.

Soybeans up for 4th day on weather concerns, strong demand (RT)

  • Soybeans rise, wet weather threatens to delay harvest
  • China-led strong demand underpins Chicago soybean prices
  • Corn dips as U.S. harvest kicks off, wheat ticks higher

Adds comment, detail

Chicago soybeans rose for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday, with prices underpinned by strong demand and concerns over excessive wet weather delaying the U.S. harvest.

Corn prices remain under pressure as farmers start gathering a record-sized U.S. crop, while wheat ticked up after closing marginally lower on Tuesday.

The most-active soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade Sv1 had risen 0.1 percent to $9.61 a bushel by 0306 GMT, having firmed 0.8 percent on Tuesday when it hit the highest since Aug. 30 at $9.64 a bushel.

Corn Cv1 was unchanged at $3.28-1/2 a bushel, after dropping to multi-year lows last week and wheat Wv1 gained 0.2 percent to $3.99-1/4 a bushel.

“The U.S. Midwest is likely to receive more rain this week than had previously been forecast,” said Tobin Gorey, director of agricultural strategy, Commonwealth Bank of Australia.

“While meteorologists have downplayed the impact on crops, plenty of market chatter about delays to maturation and harvesting is doing the rounds.”

Soybean prices drew support from a USDA report showing export inspections of U.S. soybeans in the latest week at 1,232,739 tonnes, above a range of trade expectations for 700,000 to 950,000 tonnes.

Gains in soybeans are being capped by the healthy condition of the U.S. crop so far this season. The U.S. Department of Agriculture rated the soybean crop as 73 percent good-to-excellent, unchanged from last week. Analysts had expected a slight decline in ratings.

The USDA rated 74 percent of the U.S. corn crop in good-to-excellent condition, in line with trade expectations and down from 75 percent the previous week.

The government has not yet issued a national figure for corn harvest progress, but state reports pegged the harvest as 1-percent complete in Illinois and 8-percent complete in Missouri.

Commodity funds were net buyers of CBOT soybean futures on Tuesday and small net sellers of corn and wheat. COMFUND/CBT

Meanwhile, Canada’s wheat stockpile shrank to its smallest mid-summer level on record, a Reuters trade survey estimated ahead of a government crop report.

Grains prices at 0306 GMT
Contract Last Change Pct chg Two-day chg MA 30 RSI
CBOT wheat 399.25 0.75 +0.19% +0.00% 424.63 31
CBOT corn 328.50 0.00 +0.00% +0.00% 333.07 47
CBOT soy 961.00 1.25 +0.13% +0.89% 979.77 37
CBOT rice 9.53 $0.01 +0.05% +1.11% $9.81 39
WTI crude 45.10 $0.27 +0.60% +1.49% $44.42 47
Currencies
Euro/dlr $1.125 $0.000 +0.01% +0.98%
USD/AUD 0.7669 -0.002 -0.22% +1.20%
Most active contracts
Wheat, corn and soy US cents/bushel. Rice: USD per hundredweight
RSI 14, exponential

Китай отказался покупать украинские зерновые

  finance.ua

Китай отказался покупать украинский ячмень, сою и кукурузу.

Причина – выявление вредителей, болезней и нематод, запрещенных к ввозу в Китай, сообщает Инфоиндустрия.

В частности:

Вредители:

Стеблевой кукурузный мотылек — Ostrinia nubilalis Hubn. обнаружен в:

Ивано-Франковской области (Тлумацком, Рогатинском р-х), на площади 675,33 га;

Кировоградской области (Александровском р-не), на площади 402 га;

Тернопольской области (Подволочиском, Збаражском р-х), на площади 839 га при обследованиях посевов кукурузы.

Болезни:

Вирус полосатой мозаики пшеницы — Wheat streak mosaic virus обнаружен в:

Николаевской области (Первомайском р-не), на площади 191 га при обследованиях посевов кукурузы.

Кладоспориоз серо оливковый — Cladosporium griseo-olivaceum Pidopl. обнаружен в:

Житомирской области (Овручском и Попельнянском р-х), на площади 398 га., При обследованиях посеве кукурузы.

Вертицилий бело-черный — Verticillium albo-atrum обнаружен в:

Житомирской области (Ружинском р-не), на площади 189,1 га., При обследованиях посеве сои.

Вирус мозаики люцерны — Alfalfa mosaic virus обнаружен в:

Ровенской области (Дубенском р-не), на площади 47 га;

Черниговской области (Нежинском р-не), на площади 155 га, при обследованиях сои.

Вирус штриховатой мозаики ячменя — Barley stripe mosaic virus обнаружен в:

Донецкой области (Первомайском р-не), на площади 64,88 га, при обследованиях ячменя.

Нематоды:

Стеблевая нематода — Ditylenchus dipsaci (kuhn) filipjev. обнаружена в:

Львовской области (Бродовском р-не), на площади 247 га, при обследованиях сои.

Все хозяйства, на полях которых обнаружены вредные организмы кукурузы, сои и ячменя, были оповещены о результатах проверок и экспертиз, им было отказано в будущем экспорте зерна из зараженных площадей (как таковым, которые не соответствуют протоколам фитосанитарных и инспекционных требований КНР по кукурузе, ячменю и сое).

Напомним, украинские аграрии рассказали, где собрались хранить второй по счету рекордный урожай

Wheat comes off 10-yr low on bargain-buying; corn, soy struggle (RT)

  • Chicago wheat gains for 1st time in seven sessions
  • Wheat prices may have hit bottom around $4 a bushel
  • Corn trades near two-year low as U.S. harvest looms

U.S. wheat futures rose for the first time in seven days on Tuesday, underpinned by bargain-buying after the market tumbled to a 10-year low in the previous session.

Corn hovered near Monday’s two-year low, under pressure from the harvest of an expected record U.S. crop. Soybeans slid for a sixth session in a row.

Chicago Board of Trade most-active wheat contract Wv1 gained 0.4 percent to $3.98-3/4 a bushel by 0229 GMT, after hitting its lowest since 2006 at $3.95-1/4 a bushel on Monday.

Corn Cv1 gained a quarter of a cent to trade at $3.21 a bushel, not far off of last session’s low of $3.20 a bushel, its weakest since 2014. Soybeans Sv1 gave up quarter of a cent at $9.64 a bushel.

“I don’t think wheat needs to be below $4 a bushel. Global supply and demand fundamentals haven’t changed in the last one week but we have seen a decline of more than 25 cents in prices,” said Ole Houe, an analyst with brokerage IKON Commodities in Sydney.

“From an Australian perspective, we won’t engage growers at these levels.”

Wheat faced renewed pressure after top importer Egypt reinstated a ban on wheat shipments containing even the slightest amount of a common grain fungus, ergot. The move baffled traders who had returned to the Egyptian market last month when the ban was lifted, and could boost already ample global supplies that have kept a lid on prices.

Russian wheat export prices fell slightly last week as a weakening rouble made Russian grains more competitive.

Black Sea prices for September deliveries of Russian wheat with 12.5 percent protein content were $172 a tonne on a free-on-board basis at the end of last week, down $1 from a week earlier, Russian agricultural consultancy IKAR said.

For corn, looming supply from an expected all-time high U.S. crop is weighing on prices.

The U.S Department of Agriculture rated 75 percent of the U.S. corn crop in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from a week earlier. The soybean crop was rated 73 percent as good-to-excellent, up from 72 percent the previous week.

Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT corn, wheat and soybean futures on Monday. Trader estimates of net fund selling in corn ranged from 7,000 to 15,000 contracts, in wheat from 6,000 to 7,500 contracts, and in soybeans from zero to 3,000 contracts. COMFUND/CBT

U.S. weekly crop progress highlights – USDA (RT)

WASHINGTON, Aug 29 (Reuters) – Highlights of the U.S. Agriculture Department’s weekly crop progress report (all numbers expressed in percent):

Week ended                    08/28/16  08/21/16  08/28/15  5-year

RICE CONDITION

  - Excellent                     13       13       18       NA
  - Good                          47       48       48       NA
  - Fair                          27       26       28       NA
  - Poor                          8        9        4        NA
  - Very Poor                     5        4        2        NA

CORN CONDITION

  - Excellent                     21       21       19       NA
  - Good                          54       54       49       NA
  - Fair                          18       18       22       NA
  - Poor                          5        5        7        NA
  - Very Poor                     2        2        3        NA

COTTON CONDITION

  - Excellent                     9        8        9        NA
  - Good                          39       39       45       NA
  - Fair                          36       35       35       NA
  - Poor                          12       14       8        NA
  - Very Poor                     4        4        3        NA

SOYBEAN CONDITION

  - Excellent                     18       18       15       NA
  - Good                          55       54       48       NA
  - Fair                          20       21       26       NA
  - Poor                          5        5        8        NA
  - Very Poor                     2        2        3        NA
    RICE HARVESTED                22       15       24       21
    SPRING WHEAT HARVESTED        81       65       84       62
    CORN DOUGH                    92       85       90       87
    CORN DENTED                   60       40       54       52
    SOYBEANS DROPPING LEAVES      5        NA       8        5
    SOYBEANS SETTING PODS         94       89       91       92
    COTTON BOLLS OPENING          23       16       20       23
    COTTON SETTING BOLLS          95       92       91       94

Soybeans ease, corn falls for 2nd day on US crop report (RT)

  • Soybeans, corn fall as USDA rates crops in healthy condition
  • Strong soybean demand limits price decline, wheat extends losses

Chicago soybean futures lost ground on Tuesday, while corn slid for a second session, with renewed pressure on prices after a U.S. government report showed both crops thriving in near-perfect weather.

Wheat fell, adding to Monday’s more than 2 percent decline, as abundant global supplies continue to weigh on the market.

Chicago Board of Trade most-active corn contract Cv1 fell 0.5 percent to $3.40-3/4 a bushel by 0301 GMT, having closed down by about a similar amount in the previous session.

Soybeans Sv1 dipped 0.3 percent to $10.13 a bushel and wheat Wv1 gave up 0.7 percent to $4.32-1/4 a bushel.

“Growing conditions for beans are fantastic across the U.S. Midwest,” said one agricultural commodities analyst.

“The U.S. crop has been estimated to be a record large and it is likely to get bigger as the weather outlook for next week or two looks perfect.”

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) rated 75 percent of the U.S. corn crop in good-to-excellent condition, up from 74 percent the previous week, while soybean ratings held steady at 72 percent rated good-to-excellent. US/CROPS

Analysts had expected the USDA to report a decline in the condition of the corn crop, with soybeans seen as unchanged. At this time of last year, 69 percent of corn and 63 percent of soybeans were rated good-to-excellent.

Still, strong demand is underpinning the soybean market.

The USDA said private exporters sold 120,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown destinations for 2016-17 delivery.

The agency also reported export inspections of U.S. soybeans in the latest week at 961,414 tonnes, above a range of trade expectations of 650,000 to 850,000 tonnes.

The European Union’s crop monitoring service significantly cut its forecast on Monday for average maize and soft wheat yields in this year’s EU harvest after adverse weather.

However, Russia is seen more than offseting the weather-related crop shortfalls in Europe.

Commodity funds were net sellers of CBOT corn and wheat futures on Monday and net buyers in soybeans and soymeal, traders said.

Trader estimates of net fund selling in corn ranged from 3,000 to 6,000 contracts, and in wheat from 3,000 to 8,000 contracts. For soybeans, trader estimates of net fund buying ranged from 3,000 to 7,000 contracts.

PM markets: soybean futures fall, as focus shifts to US crop (am)

20:44 GMT, Friday, 19th Aug 2016, by William Clarke

Consolidation was the name of the day, as traders closed out positions for the end of the week.

Corn and wheat rallied on short covering, while in soybeans, where traders are long, prices fell.

Jim Sullivan, at Leese Trading Group, told Agrimony “as we approach the end of the week, we see profit taken by the speculative bulls”.

Soybean futures fell by 1.0%, to finish at 10.04 Ѕ a bushel.

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